Research in the Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health estimated the effect climate change could have on deaths resulting from hot or cold weather in the UK up until 2080. A before the headlines analysis accompanied this roundup.
Prof David Spiegelhalter, Winton Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk, University of Cambridge, said:
“It seems clear from this analysis that the reduction in cold-related deaths per 100,000 people in each age group easily outweighs the projected increase in the heat-related death rate. So, were the population make-up to stay the same into the 2080s, temperature-related deaths would actually fall. Therefore it would be more accurate to say that increased number of future temperature-related deaths was wholly driven by projected population growth and ageing.”
‘Climate change effects on human health: projections of temperature-related mortality for the UK during the 2020s, 2050s and 2080s’ by Shakoor Hajat et al. published in the Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health on Monday 3 February 2014.